Like many people around the world, I didn’t see this war coming to pass. Iran and its leadership has proven everyone wrong. Since it has already started, let’s first understand American position on this war. It is predicated on following premises/ motivations/ beliefs:
- Hubris. This is how empires behave so the Mendora kidnapping was successful and it was an adrenaline rush for Trump and that made them overconfident in the capacity of the American military.
- Internal Political Calculus. Trump wants third term and Israelis and Saudis are bribing him to wage this war. For example, Saudis invested invested $2 billion in the private equity fund of Jared Kushner who is the son-in-law of Donald Trump. Likewise, Mariam Adelson an Israeli businesswoman who promised that she will put up $250 million if Trump were to run a third term. If war goes sideways and Trump is forced to use ground troops. He’ll probably get approved from Congress and this will give them immense war powers which will allow him to influence the midterms or delay elections.
- Eschatology. Epstein saga shows that the world is run by these individuals who have a lot of power. We don’t exactly know who they are whether illuminati who control Vatican and Israel or Freemasons who control the Social Security apparatus of the United States and they believe that Israel this one Middle East is key to the end times establishing heaven on Earth so it’s almost like a script that they’re following even though it’s doesn’t make any biblical sense so I would say that these we are the best reasons why this is happening now.
All above are premises of war are so flimsy and natural consequence of which is disastrous for US:
1. For the third time Iran has flat out rejected any notion of a ceasefire with the Trump administration and in response the IRGC has shifted into what they are calling the heaviest offensive asymmetric retaliation in their history.
2. While the Corporate media is focused on the shock and awe of the initial American strikes, the real story is what is happening beneath the surface. A quiet fear is spreading inside Washington that America could run out of missiles before the war runs out of targets. For this reason Donald Trump is scrambling desperately and publicly to sell a ceasefire to a nation that has been preparing for this exact moment for 47 years. Timeline to accomplish the mission is shifting faster from days to weeks. U.S. Navy stationed in the narrow confines of the Persian golf is being forced to expand Multi Million dollar interceptors to shoot down Iranian drones and missiles that cost a fraction of the price. Martyrdom of Attaullah they thought would result in collapse of regime. The exact opposite has happened, the IRGC has unified and the retaliation has been fierce.
- On the home front, American servicemen body bags are coming home in flags. CNN Poll shows that a staggering 59% of US citizens disapprove of these military actions. 60% of respondent said they don’t believe Trump has a clear plan. 62% are demanding that he must go to Congress for Approval. Capitol Hill pushback is growing louder and more coordinated that Trump is waging an illegal war without congressional authorisation. Rand Paul and others are pushing a war powers resolution to shut this down demanding that the president either come to Congress and make his case or cease hostilities. This isn’t just partisan squabbling this is a constitutional crisis.
- Pentagon is losing the economic war. The US defence industry is geared toward profits not survival. They build complex exquisite systems that take years to assemble. Iran on the other hand has been under sanctions for decades. They have mastered the art of building massive quantities of drones and ballistic missiles that are good enough. They are designed to saturate enemy defences to overwhelm the radar and to force the Americans to fire back costing them a fortune hence US is looking for an off ramp which it is unable to find.
- Iran is fighting with its back against the wall defending sovereignty while the US is fighting a war of choice 7000 miles. The Islamic republic has prepared for the possibility of a direct confrontation with the US they have built their military doctrine around the idea of making the occupation and continued warfare.
Ayatollah’s knowingly embraced Shahdat like Hussain. Iran had won the war in that moment. The humiliation is just beginning for the US. The more Iran fires the more the US bleeds and the more the world realises that the emperor has no missiles left.